
This
report is fatally flawed and we demand that it is withdrawn until its authors get their facts right.
We also refute the allegation that Nottingham is the most dangerous city in the country.
The
inaccuracies are so fundamental that they mean that Nottingham is not, as the report suggests, highest
for overall crime and for murder, for example.
The report gives a population
of 249, 584 for Nottingham, based on 2001 census data. In fact, the 2001 census shows a population of
266,998. However, much more up-to-date and accurate information places the population at 275,100 (the
census 2004 mid-year population estimate).
- Highest
crime rate – Wrong
Nottingham does not
have the highest crime rate. The population inaccuracy means that Nottingham’s crime rate is reduced
to 104.8 per 1,000 population – below Leeds. Over the past five years, all crime has reduced by 21,404
offences (13% drop) across Nottinghamshire and by 10,864 offences (14.7% drop) in the City.
- Highest
murder rate – Wrong
The correct figure
for the number of murders in Nottingham in 2005 is nine – not 13 as stated in the report.
- Most
dangerous city - Wrong
Nottingham is
not the most dangerous city if the right population figures are used.
- Worst
for vehicle crime – Wrong
Nottingham
drops from the first to the sixth place
- Second
worst for robbery – Wrong
People would
be significantly more likely to be a victim of robbery in London than in Nottingham (offences per 1,000
population down from 6.4 to 5.8)
- Third
worst for burglary – Wrong
Nottingham’s
rate should fall from 38.33 – 34.6, placing the city at fifth place.
- Comparing
Nottingham with other places - Wrong
The
report is not comparing like with like. The statistics appear to show that Leicester is larger than
Nottingham and that Derby is almost as big as Nottingham, when this is clearly not the case. In fact
the area described as ‘Derby’ includes south Derbyshire – containing huge areas of rural countryside.
Clearly, if you compare such an area with a tightly-drawn area of inner city Nottingham, then Nottingham
will have worse crime rates.
This report places Nottingham
fourth in the country for gun crime. If the figures for the population were accurate or the conurbation
figures were used, this would place Nottingham even further down this league table. This debunks once
and for all earlier claims that Nottingham is ‘Gun Crime Capital of the UK’. Gun crime in the city is
at its lowest since 1999, with a reduction of 16.5% in Notts (62% in the City of Nottingham) in 2005.
- Not
comparing like with like
The statistics
for Nottingham are based on the City Division of Nottinghamshire Police Force. In order for the statistics
to be more accurately compared against conurbations such as Manchester, Liverpool and Leeds, figures
for Greater Nottingham – with a population of 632,100 - should be used.
Leader
of Nottingham City Council, Councillor Jon Collins, said:
“There
are lies, damn lies and statistics. Once again, people are bandying around statistics without fully
understanding them and the implications of getting them wrong. I demand that this report is withdrawn
until they can get their facts right, before it does any further damage to Nottingham, its businesses,
its universities and its reputation.
“The comparisons
made in the report don’t stack up. Everyone knows Nottingham is the largest city in the East Midlands,
yet this report says that Leicester is, which is a nonsense. If such basic information is wrong, then
we need to question what else is wrong in the report.
“How
can we possibly be the most dangerous city in the country when, for example, there are ten times as
many murders in London, according to this report, than in Nottingham? The description as the UK’s most
dangerous city does not describe the Nottingham that I or the vast majority of people who live and work
here recognise. We are proud of our city and feel safe in it.”
Chief
Supt Marcus Beale, commander for Nottingham city centre, said:
“It
is important to put this latest survey into context because statistics do not tell the whole story.
Nottingham’s population is significantly higher than this survey suggests and we are being compared
against some areas with large swathes of rural countryside.
“The
truth is people living and working in Nottingham do not spend their days worrying about how dangerous
they think their city is.
“This is a fabulous city
with a thriving economy. It is renowned for its shopping, its great nightlife and attracts thousands
of university students every year. Every weekend we play host to around 100,000 people who choose to
visit Nottingham for a night out. They have a great time and then go home safely.
“All
towns and cities across the country have their problems with crime and we are no different. But look
at what we are doing about it. The number of offences in Nottingham city has fallen by almost 10,000
since 2002. In the last three years burglary, robbery and vehicle crime have all seen substantial reductions.
“Likewise,
gun crime continues to fall, dispelling the myth that Nottingham was ever the UK’s gun capital. We work
closely with Nottingham City Council and other agencies and that partnership is reaping rewards. This
is a great city to live and work in; but it’s also a safe city too.”
For
more information call: Stephan Richeux on 07967 202540 at the City Council or Paul Coffey on 07967 719881
at Notts Police.